Crossovers between births falls and deaths peaks during the COVID-19 pandemic: the Mexican case
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18381/eq.v20i2.7296Keywords:
COVID-19, births, demographic crossovers, deaths, MexicoAbstract
Objective: to describe patterns of crossovers between births and deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Likewise, use vital statistics to measure descents of deliveries by mothers’ ages.Methodology: Official figures are analyzed to identify crossovers. Predictions from a multivariate time series model are employed to estimate the dimension of birth descents in a counterfactual sense.Results: It is suggested that the COVID-19 pandemic is the reason for the anticipated crossover occurrence. The negative trend of births suffers a dramatic fall. However, in some cases, there are recoveries.Limitations: According to official figures, there might be under-recordings of births and deaths due to the availability and access to Register offices.Originality: To identify the COVID-19 impact on the anticipated occurrence of crossovers and birth falls in a country with previous public health problems.Conclusions: It is suggested that the anticipated occurrence of demographic crossovers resulted from the COVID-19 pandemic. The significant fall in the number of births may impact on an accelerated aging in this country.Downloads
References
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