Contagion effect in NAFTA stock markets from 2000 to 2016

A dynamic copula approach

Authors

  • Christian Bucio Pacheco Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México
  • Raúl De Jesús Gutiérrez Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México
  • Magnolia Miriam Sosa Castro Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18381/eq.v16i2.7072

Keywords:

Contagion, dependence, dynamic copula approach

Abstract

This paper aims to analyze the dependence relation among NAFTA markets in order to prove contagion effect. A dynamic copula approach is employed using rolling window estimation. The sample period is from 2000 to 2016, taking three periods of 15 years each one, using three different size of window: a) 2000-2014 with a window of two years and seven months, b) 2001-2015 employing a window size of one year and seven months y c) 2002-2016 with a seven months window. All periods are divided in three intervals of five years: pre-crisis, crisis and post-crisis. Results show strong evidence about contagion effect during the Global Financial Crisis period.   Recepción: 23/10/2017 Aceptación: 13/12/2018

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Author Biographies

Christian Bucio Pacheco, Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México

Coordinador de la carrera de actuaria. UAEM Campus Huehuetoca

Raúl De Jesús Gutiérrez, Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México

Profesor de la UAEM Campus Toluca

Magnolia Miriam Sosa Castro, Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana

Profesora del Departamento de Economía,  Division de Ciencias Sociales y Humanidades, UAM- IZTAPALAPA  

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Published

2019-08-06 — Updated on 2021-12-21

How to Cite

Bucio Pacheco, C., De Jesús Gutiérrez, R., & Sosa Castro, M. M. (2021). Contagion effect in NAFTA stock markets from 2000 to 2016: A dynamic copula approach. EconoQuantum, 16(2), 65–87. https://doi.org/10.18381/eq.v16i2.7072

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