Modelo multifactorial APT para el análisis de los factores de riesgo macroeconómico a los que se exponen los hedge funds
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.18381/eq.v14i1.6540Keywords:
Hedge funds, modelo multifactorial, iInnovaciones macroeconómicasAbstract
Existen solo dos teorías con un riguroso fundamento para calcular el equilibrio entre el riesgo y la rentabilidad de los activos: el CAPM y el APT. Sin embargo, a diferencia del CAPM, el APT acepta la existencia de diversas fuentes de riesgo sistemático. Por otro lado, dado que los hedge funds invierten en activos que reaccionan ante cambios macroeconómicos, sus rentabilidades también deberían ser influidas por las mismas fuerzas externas que afectan a los dichos activos. Por lo anterior, el objetivo de este trabajo es aplicar un modelo multifactorial macroeconómico en un contexto APT al sector de los hedge funds, para probar si los factores de riesgo macroeconómico tienen poder explicativo sobre sus rentabilidades, así como conocer la significancia y dirección de su influencia. Para ello se construye una base de datos, carteras de rentabilidades e innovaciones macroeconómicas y se emplea el método de Fama y MacBeth. A partir de los resultados empíricos, inversionistas y académicos podrán tener una visión analítica de la influencia de los riesgos macroeconómicos en las rentabilidades de los hedge funds.Downloads
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