Efectos de la política monetaria en las decisiones de crédito al consumo

Autores/as

  • Abigail Rodríguez Nava Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana, Unidad Xochimilco.
  • Francisco Venegas Martínez Instituto Politécnico Nacional, Escuela Superior de Economía.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.18381/eq.v12i2.4860

Palabras clave:

Política monetaria, bancos comerciales, consumidores, gasto, tasa de interés

Resumen

En esta investigación se propone un modelo cuyo propósito es mostrar los efectos de política monetaria en las decisiones de crédito bancario para consumo. Las hipótesis esenciales son: 1) la autoridad monetaria incide en la composición del balance bancario mediante el control de la tasa de interés; 2) la oferta de crédito es independiente de los depósitos. Entre los resultados principales se encuentran: 1) la utilización de la tasa de interés como instrumento de política monetaria influye indirectamente sobre las posibilidades de gasto de los consumidores, porque los bancos comerciales son forzados a modificar la composición de sus activos y pasivos en respuesta a las decisiones del banco central; 2) la demanda de activos y pasivos de los agentes depende esencialmente de la rentabilidad, riesgo y correlación entre los títulos. Por último, el modelo propuesto se calibra para medir los efectos de la política monetaria sobre las decisiones de los agentes. 

Descargas

Los datos de descargas todavía no están disponibles.

Citas

Atanasova, Christina V. y Wilson, Nicholas (2003). “Bank Borrowing Constraints and the Demand for Trade Credit: Evidence from Panel Data”, Managerial and Decision Economics, Vol. 24, No. 6-7, pp. 503-514.

Aoki, Kosuke; Proudman James y Vlieghe Gertjan (2004). “House Prices, Consumption, and Monetary Policy: A Financial Accelerator Approach”, Journal of Financial Intermediation, Vol. 13, No. 4, pp.414-435.

Bernanke, Ben S. y Blinder, Alan S. (1998). “Credit, Money and Aggregate Demand”, The American Economic Review, Vol. 78, No. 2, pp. 435-439.

Bernanke, Ben S. y Gertler, Mark (1995). “Inside the Black Box: The Credit Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission”, Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 9, No. 4, pp. 27-48.

Bolton, Patrick y Scharfstein, David S. (1990). “A Theory of Predation Based on Agency Problems in Financial Contracting”, American Economic Review, Vol. 80, No. 1, pp. 93-106.

Bolton, Patrick y Freixas, Xavier (2006). “Corporate Finance and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism”, The Review of Financial Studies, Vol. 19, No. 3, pp. 829-870.

Calvo, Guillermo (1992). “Are High Interest Rates Effective for Stopping High Inflation? Some Skeptical Notes”, The World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 6, No. 1, p. 55-69.

Canning, David; Jefferson, Clifford, W. y Spencer, John E. (2003). “Optimal Credit Rationing in Not-for-Profit Financial Institutions”, International Economic Review, Vol. 44, No. 1, pp. 243-261.

Chang, Chun (1990). “The Dynamic Structure of Optimal Debt Contracts”, Journal of Economic Theory, Vol. 52, No. 1, pp. 68-86.

Chava, Sudheer y Purnanandam, Amiyatosh (2011). “The Effect of Banking Crisis on Bank-Dependent Borrowers”, Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 99, No. 1, pp. 116-135.

Clarida, Richard; Gali, Jordi y Gertler, Mark (2000). “Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 115, No. 1, pp. 147-180.

Cúrdia, Vasco y Woodford, Michael (2009). “Credit Spreads and Monetary Policy”, Discussion Paper 0910-01, Columbia University.

Díaz, Roger Aliaga y Olivero, María Pía (2010). “On the Firm-level Implications of the Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Policy”, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 34, No. 10, pp. 2038-2055.

Dionne, Georges y Viala, Pascale (1994). “Moral Hazard, Renegotiation and Debt”, Economic Letters, Vol. 46, No. 2, pp. 113-119.

Dunbar, Kwamie y Amin, Abu S. (2012). “Credit Risk Dynamics in Response to Changes in the Federal Funds Target: The Implication for Firm Short-term Debt”, Review of Financial Economics, Vol. 21, No. 3, pp. 141-152.

Eggertsson, Gauti B. y Woodford Michael (2003). “The Zero Bound on Interest Rates and Optimal Monetary Policy”, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, No. 1, pp. 139-211.

Gale, Douglas y Hellwig, Martin F. (1985). “Incentive Compatible Debt Contracts: The One-Period Problem”, Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 52, No. 4, pp. 647-663.

Gavin, William T. y Kydland, Finn E. (1999). “Endogenous Money Supply and the

Business Cycle”, Review of Economic Dynamics, Vol. 2, No. 2, pp. 347-369.

Gertler Mark y Gilchrist, Simon (1994). “Monetary Policy, Business Cycles, and the Behavior of Small Manufacturing Firms”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics,

Vol. 109, No. 2, pp. 309-340.

Goodfriend, Marvin y McCallum, Bennett T. (2007). “Banking and Interest Rates in

Monetary Policy Analysis: A Quantitative Exploration”, Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 54, No. 5, pp.1480-1507.

Hachem, Kinda (2011). “Relationship Lending and the Transmission of Monetary Policy”, Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 58, No. 6-8, pp.590-600.

Hildebrand, Phillip M. (2006). “Monetary Policy and Financial Markets”, Financial

Markets and Portfolio Management, Vol. 20, No. 1, pp. 7-18.

Kandrac, John (2012). “Monetary Policy and Bank Lending to Small Firms”, Journal

of Macroeconomics, Vol. 34, No. 3, pp.741-748.

Kashyap, Anil K; Stein, Jeremy C. y Wilcox, David D. (1993). “Monetary Policy and Credit Conditions: Evidence from the Composition of External Finance”, The American Economic Review, Vol. 83, No. 1, pp. 78-98.

Keynes, John Maynard (1937). “Alternatives Theories of the Rate of Interest”, The Economic Journal, Vol. 47, No. 186, pp. 241-252.

Kobayashi, Teruyoshi (2011). “Firm Entry, Credit Availability and Monetary Policy”, Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, Vol. 35, No. 8, pp. 1245-1272.

McCallum, Bennett T. (2001). “Should Monetary Policy Respond Strongly to Output Gaps?”, The American Economic Review, Vol. 91, No. 2, pp. 258-262.

Mishkin, Frederic S. y Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus (2001). “One Decade of Inflation Targeting in the World: What Do We Know and What Do We Need to Know?”, documento de trabajo No. 8377, NBER.

Mojon, Benôit (2000). “Financial Structure and the Interest Channel of ECB Monetary Policy”, Working Paper 40, European Central Bank.

Olivero, María Pía, Li, Yuan y Jeon, Bang Nam (2011). “Competition in Banking and the Lending Channel: Evidence from Bank-level Data in Asia and Latin America”, Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 35, No. 3, pp. 560-571.

Rotemberg, Julio y Woodford, Michael (1999). “Interest Rate Rules in Estimated Sticky Price Models”, John B. Taylor (ed.) Monetary Policy Rules, University of Chicago Press.

Stokey, Nancy y Lucas, Robert E. (1989). Recursive Methods in Economic Dynamics, Harvard University Press, Estados Unidos.

Svensson, Lars E. O. (1999). “Inflation Targeting as a Monetary Policy Rule”, Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 43, No. 3, pp. 607-654.

Taylor, John B. (1993). “Discretion versus Policy Rules in Practice”, Carnegie – Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Vol. 39, No. 1, pp. 195-214.

Taylor, John B. (1999). “The Monetary Transmission Mechanism and The Evaluation of Monetary Policy Rules”, Working Paper, Standford University.

Walsh, Carl E. (2010). Monetary Theory and Policy, 3a. edición, MIT, Estados Unidos.

Woodford, Michael (1994). “Monetary Policy and Price Level Determinacy in a Cashin-Advance Economy”, Economic Theory, Vol. 4, No. 3, pp. 345-380.

Descargas

Publicado

2016-01-19

Cómo citar

Rodríguez Nava A., & Venegas Martínez F. (2016). Efectos de la política monetaria en las decisiones de crédito al consumo. EconoQuantum, 12(2), 47–69. https://doi.org/10.18381/eq.v12i2.4860

Métrica